
By: Moumita Samanta | Date : May 27, 26
Gold prices on COMEX traded with flat momentum with no clear direction but managed to maintain the level of $4500, as the market remained optimistic that the US and Iran could secure a peace agreement despite renewed tensions in the Middle East. Negotiations to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz are still on. However, Rubio, the US secretary, informed that any final agreement may still take several days to complete. Thus, any fall below the $4500, then prices may see the next downside destination of $4450.

Silver prices after gaining over 1.90%, , is seen trading down by 0.08%, almost flat at the level of $76, maintaining the support at the level of $75, amid positivity in the market on the development on the war front, where Peace talk is still going on with expectation of reopening of Strait of Hormuz, however it may take a little longer to final conclusion. At the same time, the US military carried out self-defense strikes in southern Iran, while Iran’s Revolutionary Guard claimed it fired at fighter jets and multiple drones after they allegedly entered Iranian airspace. Thus, till the deal is signed uncertainty still prevails in the market , but a positive statement from Washington is keeping the market going.

Crude prices on Brent are seen trading below the mark of $100, for the second consecutive day, amid some stability and talk of extending the cease fire with probability of opening of Strait of Hormiz, weighing on the oil prices. Further, Regional powers including Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates are also pressing President Donald Trump to pursue diplomacy, amid concerns that further military escalation could prompt Iran to retaliate against neighboring states.Thus, prices are expected to remain under pressure and the signing of peace deal would further make oil prices weak in the coming time.

MCX copper continued to trade gains and went up by 0.49% to settle the day at the level of Rs1364.60, amid expectations of resolution on the US-Iran war along with ongoing supportive fundamentals. Thus, if prices sustain above Rs1350, Rs1380 would be the first upside destination. Further fuel in AI stocks also pushed copper prices up.

| COMMODITY | CLOSING | %CHANGE | SUPPORT | RESISTANCE |
| Gold(MCX) | 157616 | -0.92% | 155500 | 165000 |
| Gold (Spot) | 4507.02 | -0.04% | 4450 | 4600 |
| Silver(MCX) | 270628 | -2.22% | 267000 | 278000 |
| Silver (Spot) | 76.9104 | 1.90% | 71.5 | 82.5 |
| Crude Oil(MCX) | 9014 | 4.50% | 8400 | 9500 |
| WTI Crude | 93.56 | -3.54% | 93 | 105 |
| Natural Gas(MCX) | 276.2 | -0.47% | 262 | 300 |
| Copper(MCX) | 1357.25 | -0.75% | 1324 | 1400 |
| Zinc(MCX) | 367.5 | -0.88% | 359 | 375 |
| Aluminium (MCX) | 386.6 | 0.64% | 375 | 392 |
| Commodity(MCX) | Support | Resistance |
| Gold(Jun): | 156578 | 158462 |
| Silver(Jul): | 266585 | 273688 |
| Crude Oil(Jun): | 8611 | 9152 |
| Natural Gas(Jun): | 283.5 | 294.1 |
COMEX Gold (Spot): The yellow metal is exhibiting a Sideways to Bearish Sentiment as the recent safe-haven premium continues to unwind, forcing price action below key near-term moving averages. Immediate overhead resistance is now firmly established near $4,480 – $4,540, a zone that is likely to see aggressive selling on any relief rallies. On the downside, the primary defensive cushions for bulls are seen deeper near $4,400 – $4,350. Until spot prices can reclaim the upper resistance barriers, the path of least resistance remains tilted to the downside.
MCX Gold (Jun): Trading completely in line with COMEX sentiments, the domestic June contract reflects an identical structural vulnerability. Intraday bounce attempts are facing a strict cap at the resistance zone positioned at ₹1,57,000 – ₹1,56,500, while the critical support floors are expected to hold between ₹1,54,500 – ₹1,52,000. Technical patterns warn that a deeper weakness in prices may continue after breaching the support zone, which could trigger an acceleration in technical liquidations.
Overall View: With the short-term trajectory shifting into a defensive posture, momentum traders should favor selling on rallies or playing breakouts on a confirmed breakdown below immediate floors. However, for long-term investors, this corrective phase offers a highly favorable value window; they can strategically consider buying in small amounts on every dip toward the ₹1,54,500 – ₹1,52,000 zone to gradually build stable core holdings at improved cost averages.

COMEX Silver (Spot): Silver has shifted into a Sideways to Bearish Sentiment as softening industrial demand indicators and a strengthening dollar pressure the metals complex. The white metal faces prominent overhead friction, with resistance levels placed at $75.50 – $78.20, keeping near-term recovery surges well-contained. On the lower end, the broader demand pocket is drifting, with key supports likely around $73 – $70. Expect a choppy, downward-sloping consolidation until a fresh macroeconomic catalyst emerges.
MCX Silver (Jul): Reflecting the international market, the domestic July contract shows sentiments in line with COMEX. Short-term rallies are hitting an immediate supply wall standing at ₹2,70,000 – ₹2,78,000, while a deep structural support band is expected lower down near ₹2,60,000 – ₹2,50,000. Chart setups indicate that a deeper weakness in prices may continue after breaching the support zone, which could unlock fresh short-building by momentum traders.
Overall View: With the technical bias leaning in favor of the bears for the short term, market participants must exercise high patience and execution discipline. Short-term traders are advised to avoid catching a falling knife prematurely and focus on selling into strength near key resistance levels. Conversely, this sharp correction provides an ideal structural window for long-term investors, who can steadily consider buying in small amounts on every dip inside the ₹2,60,000 – ₹2,50,000 band to optimize their entry points.

| COMMODITY | SUPPORT | RESISTANCE | TREND |
| GOLD (Jun) | 1,52,000 | 1,56,500 | Sideways to Bearish |
| SILVER (May) | 2,50,000 | 2,78,000 | Sideways to Bearish |
| GOLD (COMEX SPOT) | 4,350 | 4,540 | Sideways to Bearish |
| SILVER (COMEX SPOT) | 70 | 78.20 | Sideways to Bearish |
NYMEX WTI Crude Oil (Spot): WTI Crude Oil remains locked in a heavy Bearish Sentiment as easing supply anxieties and growing global inventory stock data drag price action lower. Relief rallies are facing aggressive supply from bears, with overhead resistance now standing at $92.50 – $97.50. On the downside, the commodity is drifting toward critical technical floors, with key support levels seen between $89 – $85.50. Until buyers can reclaim these higher resistance zones, the broader trend remains firmly skewed to the downside.
MCX Crude Oil (Jun): Trading completely in line with international NYMEX spot prices, the domestic June contract reflects this eroding technical structure. Initial recovery attempts face a stiff barrier at the resistance band of ₹8,850 – ₹9,100, while the primary defensive line for bulls is expected near the support floor at ₹8,550 – ₹8,200. The charts warn that a deeper weakness in prices may continue after breaching the support zone, which would likely accelerate technical short-building.
Overall View: With bears currently holding the upper hand, the short-term landscape favors selling on pullbacks or shorting a confirmed breakdown below key levels. A decisive breach below the immediate support floor could trigger a rapid extension of the current slide. However, because heightened volatility persists amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, sudden headlines can still trigger explosive short-covering spikes. For this reason, traders should remain extra cautious, enforce rigid risk limits, and avoid over-leveraging their positions.

LME Aluminium (Spot): Aluminium is exhibiting a constructive Sideways to Bullish Sentiment, taking a brief technical breather just below its recent multi-year highs. The light metal continues to be supported by structural global supply deficits and long-term industrial demand. Overhead resistance currently stands at $3,550 – $3,580, which bulls must clear to unlock the next leg of the rally. On the downside, pullbacks are being actively defended, with key support levels firmly established between $3,520 – $3,490.
MCX Aluminium (May): Formally tracking the global trend, the domestic May contract displays a highly constructive technical footprint. Intraday rallies face a major ceiling around the resistance band at ₹369 – ₹371.50, while reliable structural cushions are expected near ₹366.50 – ₹364. Chart structures indicate that the commodity may see an upmove after sustaining above the resistance zone, potentially setting the stage for a sharp momentum breakout.
Overall View: The broader macroeconomic and technical setups remain heavily skewed in favor of the bulls, making a “buy on dips or breakout acceleration” the ideal strategic blueprint. A decisive, sustained close above the resistance zone is highly likely to trigger an extended short-covering rally. Nonetheless, because heightened volatility persists amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, market participants should remain extra cautious, lock in profits at regular intervals, and rely on strict trailing stop-losses to protect capital against sudden intraday reversals.

| COMMODITY | SUPPORT | RESISTANCE | TREND |
| CRUDEOIL (Jun) | 8,200 | 9,100 | Bearish |
| ALUMINIUM (May) | 364 | 371.50 | Sideways to Bullish |
| WTI CRUDEOIL (NYMEX SPOT) | 85.50 | 97.50 | Bearish |
| ALUMINIUM (LME SPOT) | 3490 | 3580 | Sideways to Bullish |
| COMMODITY | S1 | S2 | S3 | Pivot | R1 | R2 | R3 |
| GOLD (Jun) | 155732 | 156578 | 157097 | 157943 | 158462 | 159308 | 159827 |
| SILVER (Jul) | 263524 | 266585 | 268606 | 271667 | 273688 | 276749 | 278770 |
| CRUDEOIL (Jun) | 8472 | 8611 | 8812 | 8951 | 9152 | 9291 | 9492 |
| NATURAL GAS (May) | 283.5 | 287.6 | 290.0 | 294.1 | 296.5 | 300.6 | 303.0 |
| COPPER (May) | 1346.5 | 1351.3 | 1354.3 | 1359.1 | 1362.1 | 1366.9 | 1369.9 |
| ZINC (May) | 360.8 | 363.8 | 365.7 | 368.7 | 370.6 | 373.6 | 375.5 |
| LEAD (May) | 203.2 | 204.3 | 205.9 | 206.9 | 208.5 | 209.6 | 211.2 |
| ALUMINIUM (May) | 379.52 | 381.43 | 384.02 | 385.93 | 388.52 | 390.43 | 393.02 |
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