Raghunandan Money – Investment Khushiyon Ka.

COMMODITY MARKET

By: Naresh Sharma | Date : May 28, 26

Evening Commodity Trading Guide 28th May 2026

Gold Technical Outlook

MCX Gold (Jun): The domestic June contract continues to mirror the global tone, navigating a distinctly vulnerable technical patch in line with COMEX sentiments. Intraday recovery attempts face severe overhead supply caps at the resistance band positioned at ₹1,54,500 – ₹1,56,000. Conversely, the primary defense zone for buyers is located between ₹1,53,000 – ₹1,51,000. Technical charts suggest that weakness in prices may continue after breaching the support zone, a scenario that could spark further long unwinding.

COMEX Gold (Spot): Spot gold displays a Sideways to Bearish Sentiment as a strengthening dollar and shifting interest rate expectations keep the metal capped below its short-term averages. Immediate resistance is packed heavily near $4,400 – $4,450, discouraging aggressive buying on relief rallies. On the lower boundary, key support levels are seen near $4,360 – $4,320. Until these overhead resistance structural ceilings are crossed, sellers remain in the driver’s seat during intraday spikes.

Overall View: With the short-term trend remaining structurally heavy, aggressive long trading should be avoided unless a firm base is established. Momentum traders should ideally look to sell into strength or trade breakdown opportunities. However, for value seekers with a broader horizon, this corrective phase is an opportune time; long-term investors can consider buying in small amounts on every dip down toward the ₹1,53,000 – ₹1,51,000 support cushion to average their portfolios efficiently.

Silver Technical Outlook

MCX Silver (Jul): Tracking international weakness, the domestic July contract exhibits sentiments in line with COMEX. Immediate selling pressure is anticipated near the key resistance framework standing at ₹2,64,000 – ₹2,68,500, while the crucial demand cushion is expected near ₹2,60,000 – ₹2,55,000. The near-term technical landscape cautions that weakness in prices may continue after breaching the support zone, which could quickly accelerate technical breakdown selling.

COMEX Silver (Spot): Spot silver is maintaining a Sideways to Bearish Sentiment due to a slowdown in short-term industrial buyer momentum and broader risk-off patterns. The metal faces a firm ceiling with resistance levels placed at $74 – $76. Meanwhile, the downside is searching for solid footing, with supports likely around $72 – $70. Expect a volatile, downward-sloping consolidation phase until a significant macroeconomic data print changes the narrative.

Overall View: The short-term technical path of least resistance points downward, urging caution for short-term buyers. Trading strategies should lean toward fading intraday bounces near key resistance points. For long-term investors, however, these lower valuation tiers are quite attractive; they can confidently consider buying in small amounts on every dip inside the ₹2,60,000 – ₹2,55,000 structural support zone to incrementally build core holdings.

COMMODITYSUPPORTRESISTANCETREND
GOLD (Jun)1,51,0001,56,000Sideways to bearish
SILVER (May)2,55,0002,68,500Sideways to bearish
GOLD (COMEX SPOT)4,3204,450Sideways to bearish
SILVER (COMEX SPOT)7076Sideways to bearish

Crude Oil Technical Outlook

MCX Crude Oil (Jun): Trading in line with international NYMEX spot prices, the domestic June contract is consolidating within a wide, unstable range. Immediate upward movements face stiff resistance at ₹9,000 – ₹9,200, while major defensive support is located at ₹8,650 – ₹8,400. Although a technical bounce from support levels can be expected, the broader picture demands vigilance, as failure to hold these lower bands could trigger sharp selling.

NYMEX WTI Crude Oil (Spot): WTI Crude Oil is locked in a Mixed Sentiment phase as global markets continuously reassess changing inventory data against localized supply risks. Price action is restricted by a strong overhead supply wall, with resistance standing at $92.50 – $94.50. On the flip side, the market remains well-insulated from steep declines by a key support corridor seen between $90 – $88, keeping the near-term landscape highly range-bound.

Overall View: Given the non-directional nature of the current market structure, range-bound trading tactics are recommended, though overall market participants should be cautious. Because heightened volatility persists amid ongoing geopolitical tensions, sharp intraday reversals can be triggered without warning by sudden energy updates. Traders should remain extra cautious, trade with lighter position sizing, and strictly utilize trailing stops to protect trading capital.

Aluminium Technical Outlook

MCX Aluminium (May): Faithfully tracking the global trend, the domestic May contract showcases an incredibly resilient technical structure. Immediate overhead sellers are defending the resistance band at ₹387 – ₹390, while strong structural buyers are waiting at the support floor of ₹383.50 – ₹380. The current configuration indicates the metal may see an upmove after sustaining above the resistance zone, potentially setting off a sharp momentum rally.

LME Aluminium (Spot): LME Aluminium is sustaining its positive Sideways to Bullish Sentiment, taking a minor breather just below key multi-year technical barriers. Global supply constraints and underlying physical demand continue to support the metal. Overhead resistance stands firm at $3,650 – $3,670, while key support levels are seen well-entrenched between $3,625 – $3,600, effectively catching short-term corrective declines.

Overall View: The broader industrial metals complex favors bulls, making a “buy on declines” strategy highly effective near structural support areas. A decisive breakout above the ₹390 area could act as a catalyst for significant short-covering. Nonetheless, because heightened volatility persists across commodities due to fluid macro events and ongoing geopolitical tensions, traders should remain extra cautious and use disciplined stop-losses to guard against unexpected market turns.

COMMODITYSUPPORTRESISTANCETREND
CRUDEOIL (Jun)8,4009,200Mixed
ALUMINIUM (Jun)380390Sideways to Bullish
WTI CRUDEOIL (NYMEX SPOT)8894.50Mixed
ALUMINIUM (LME SPOT)36003670Sideways to Bullish

COMMODITIES: PIVOT TABLE

COMMODITYS1S2S3PivotR1R2R3
GOLD (Jun)151476153214154421156159157366159104160311
SILVER (Jul)252757258015262113267371271469276727280825
CRUDEOIL (Jun)8037825584288646881990379210
NATURAL GAS (Jun)275.5281.2291.2296.9306.9312.6322.6
COPPER (Jun)1312.11327.11335.61350.61359.21374.21382.7
ZINC (Jun)355.8359.4362.0365.7368.3371.9374.5
LEAD (Jun)205.0205.8206.4207.2207.8208.6209.2
ALUMINIUM (Jun)373.87377.78380.77384.68387.67391.58394.57

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